I think it will happen through some combo of deepfakes and 3D created imagery.
So like they use basic 3D models to perform the sex acts, essentially creating the scene.
Then this is overlayed by more realistic looking models using a deepfake like process.
Then they do a third pass to make it all look even more real and tweak the small mistakes that the second step of the process might have made.
Admittedly you need someone with enough nous to do these three steps. But that's just one person! Most live porn shoots will be paying more than one person. And just the porn starlet might be paid like 1500 dollars for a day's work. There is almost no chance you'd be paying this tech guy that kind of rate. I mean, sure, there are tech guys out there earning 35K a month easily, but those are not the types who would end up making CGI porn anyway, so...
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